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 Post subject: nfl football picks week five line
PostPosted: Sun Aug 15, 2021 2:46 am 
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п»їNFL odds, lines, picks, predictions for Week 5, 2020: Proven model backing Steelers, Rams.
SportsLine's computer model simulated every Week 5 NFL game 10,000 times with surprising results.
The latest Week 5 NFL odds from William Hill show several potentially tight matchups as teams begin to show whether they're contenders or pretenders. The Browns are off to a surprising 3-1 start, but they're only one-point favorites in the latest NFL Vegas lines at home against the Colts. The Falcons are trying to overcome a slow start to the season, and they're going off as 2.5-point favorites over the Carolina Panthers, one of the slimmest NFL betting lines of the week.
Which NFL point spreads should you target on the Week 5 NFL schedule? And is the value in larger NFL spreads like Bengals at Ravens (-11.5)? All of the Week 5 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 5 NFL picks now.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and is up over $7,300 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago.
It's off to a strong 7-4 roll on top-rated NFL picks this season. The model enters Week 5 on an incredible 103-69 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, it has examined the latest Week 5 NFL odds and NFL betting lines, simulated every snap, and its predictions are in. Head to SportsLine now to see them all.
Top NFL predictions for Week 5.
One of the top Week 5 NFL predictions the model recommends: The Steelers (-7 at William Hill) cover the spread at home against the Eagles. Pittsburgh got an unexpected bye in Week 4 when its game against the Titans was postponed due to positive COVID-19 tests for Tennessee. Philadelphia, meanwhile, limps into this game with a lengthy injury list and just one win in 2020.
The Eagles are just 1-3 against the spread thus far in 2020, while Pittsburgh has covered twice in three games. The Steelers piled up 169 yards on the ground in Week 6 against the Texans, and that success bodes well for their chances in this matchup since Pittsburgh is 13-3-1 against the number in its last 17 games after it had 150-plus rushing yards in the prior matchup. The model is calling for the Steelers to win by double-digits as they cover in almost 60 percent of simulations.
Another one of the top Week 5 NFL picks from the model: The Rams (-7.5) cover as road favorites against Washington. Head coach Ron Rivera announced that Washington will bench Dwayne Haskins Jr. and start Kyle Allen against the Rams. Haskins threw for a season-high 314 yards last week against the Ravens, but that wasn't enough to keep his starting job.
The Rams, meanwhile, struggled to find consistency on offense in their 17-9 victory over the winless New York Giants last week, gaining just 240 total yards on offense. Despite their subdued performance against New York last week, Sean McVay's team will enter Sunday's contest full of confidence. That's because the Rams are averaging 397.3 yards on offense, which ranks seventh in the NFL. Washington's defense, meanwhile, is giving up 28.0 points per game, which ranks in the bottom half of the league.
SportsLine's model projects Jared Goff will throw for 275 yards, while Robert Woods and Cooper Kupp combine for almost 150 receiving yards against Washington, resulting in Los Angeles covering the spread in well over 50 percent of simulations.
How to make Week 5 NFL picks.
The model also has made the call on every other game on the Week 5 NFL schedule. It's also identified a Super Bowl contender that goes down hard. You can only get every pick for every game here.
What NFL picks can you make with confidence in Week 5? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds from William Hill below and then visit SportsLine to see which NFL teams are winning more than 50 percent of simulations, all from the model that is up over $7,300 on its top-rated NFL picks.


NFL Week 5 lines, picks: Lookahead spread for Buccaneers-Bears and other lines with great value.
Looking ahead at some of the most intriguing Week 5 bets.
One of the largest spreads heading into Week 4 is the Los Angeles Rams being 13-point favorites over the New York Giants. Daniel Jones and Co. just lost by 27 points to the San Francisco 49ers' backups, and appear to be an absolute mess right now. While it's not debated who will win this matchup on Sunday, the spread is a different question. Covering 13 points isn't easy, but wouldn't you rather have placed money on it when it was LAR -9.5? That's why you pay attention to the lookahead lines.
Every Friday, we take a look at the NFL lines a week and a half in advance to determine if we should put money down now in order to get the best bang for our buck. Depending on what happens in Week 4, all of these lines could change before we reach Week 5, so we want to go ahead and get our bets in if we see a nice opportunity for an upset or to jump on a favorite before the line moves even more in their favor.
Before we jump in to some early bets to consider, here are the lookahead lines for Week 5. All odds come courtesy of William Hill Sportsbook.
Which teams will cover the spread in Week 4? Pete Prisco, R.J. White and SportsLine's Kenny White join host Will Brinson to break down their best bets and size up every game; listen below and be sure to subscribe for daily NFL goodness fired into your eardrums.
Week 5 lookahead lines.
Picks to consider.
Buccaneers -3 at Bears.
Full disclosure, I actually picked the Bears to upset the Colts this week. Even if they do, this line could move more in favor of the Buccaneers. Tom Brady and the Bucs are favored by a touchdown over the Chargers, and touchdown favorites are 11-3 against the spread (79%) this season, which is the best mark through Week 3 since 1990. The Chargers are one of just three teams yet to go over their total, and they just lost cornerback Chris Harris to injured reserve. He joins the likes of Melvin Ingram, Derwin James, Justin Jones and Mike Pouncey, so yes, this Chargers team is pretty beat up. I believe this line will grow by next week, so I'll jump on the Buccaneers right now.
Giants at Cowboys -11.5.
This is a big spread, but I still might jump on it right now. The Cowboys take on the Browns this week, who are above .500 for the first time since 2014 with a 2-1 record. This doesn't really feel like an accomplishment, however, as they defeated the Bengals and Washington over the past two weeks. While the Cowboys are 1-2, they have the most explosive offense in the league is going up against a sub-par secondary this week. Cleveland is on a seven-game road losing streak against the spread, which is tied for the third-longest streak over the last 10 seasons. The Browns have lost each game during this streak by five-plus points, so I'm rolling with Dallas to cover on Sunday.
So why should you jump on the Week 5 Cowboys line right now? We already mentioned in the intro that there's a chance the Giants don't cover against the Rams on Sunday. Additionally, the Cowboys have beaten the Giants by at least 18 points in their last two matchups, and Mike McCarthy understands that every divisional win could matter in the NFC East.
Cardinals (-8) at Jets.
This spread is now off the board since the Jets played the Broncos on "Thursday Night Football," but it's going to reopen even more in favor of the Cardinals. Sam Darnold was virtually out-dueled by a quarterback making his first NFL start, as the Jets were beaten by a team that has been ravaged by injuries, 37-28. The Jets have lost every game this season by at least nine points, so consider taking the Cardinals whenever this line reopens.


NFL Week 5 Odds: Here Are Betting Lines, Spreads For All 15 Games.
The NFL rolls on after a tumultuous Week 4.
Here’s hoping Week 5 in the NFL goes a little smoother.
It’s unlikely the 2020 NFL season was in jeopardy, but the past week sure served as a reminder of how quickly this whole thing could fall apart as the league tries to play football amid a pandemic.
Hopefully, lessons have been learned and we can finish the season.
With that said, here are the early Week 5 betting lines, which are very subject to change as we learn more about the Tennessee Titans, Cam Newton and anything else that might happen in the next few days.
THURSDAY, OCT. 8 (-5.5) Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears Total: 44.5.
SUNDAY, OCT. 11 Carolina Panthers at (-3.5) Atlanta Falcons Total: 55.
Las Vegas Raiders at (-12) Kansas City Chiefs Total: 43.
Denver Broncos at (-8.5) New England Patriots Total: 48.5.
(-9) Los Angeles Rams at Washington Football Team Total: 46.
Jacksonville Jaguars at (-6.5) Houston Texans Total: 54.
(-1) Buffalo Bills at Tennessee Titans Total: 49.
(-6.5) Arizona Cardinals at New York Jets Total: 47.5.
Philadelphia Eagles at (-7) Pittsburgh Steelers Total: 46.
Cincinnati Bengals at (-13.5) Baltimore Ravens Total: 52.
Miami Dolphins at (-3.5) San Francisco 49ers Total: 46.5.
New York Giants at (-9) Dallas Cowboys Total: 54.
(-2.5) Indianapolis Colts at Cleveland Browns Total: 47.5.
Minnesota Vikings at (-7) Seattle Seahawks Total: 58.
MONDAY, OCT. 12 Los Angeles Chargers at (-7.5) New Orleans Saints Total: 52.
Thumbnail photo via Scott Galvin/USA TODAY Sports Images.


NFL Las Vegas Odds.
Spread В· Money Line В· 1st Half Page 1 В· Page 2.
02/07 6:30 PM 101 Kansas City 102 Tampa Bay -3ВЅ -10 57ВЅu-10 -3 -20 56u-10 -3ВЅ -05 56u-10 -3 -10 55ВЅo-15 -3 -20 56u-10 -3 -20 56u-10 -3 -20 56u-10 -3 -13 56u-12 -3 -15 56u-10 Buy Picks.
Where to Bet: WynnBET FanDuel BetMGM DraftKings Fox Bet Bet365 PointsBet Unibet BetRivers All.
How to read Super Bowl 55 Odds.
The Kansas City Chiefs wil meet the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Super Bowl 55 from Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida on Feb. 7, 2021.
The Chiefs opened as -3.5 betting favorites while the Buccaneers are 3.5 underdogs.
After early wagers came in, most operators are holding Kansas City -3 (-120).
If you were to wager on Kansas City -3, you would have to lay 5/6 odds (Bet $120 to win $100) instead of your normal 10/11 juice (Bet $110 to win $100).
The return on Tampa Bay would be even-money (1/1) and a $100 wager would return $100.
The total or over-under on Super Bowl 55 is hovering between 56 and 57 points.
How to read NFL Las Vegas Odds.
The point-spread was developed to provide a balance for both teams involved in a contest to entice bettors to potentially back the weaker team and receive points. The two squads in a game are listed with a title, either a favorite or an underdog. The favorite is usually the perceived better team in the game, as backing them means giving up several points.
Ex. Bet $110 to win $100 (10% juice) Ex. Bet $100 to win $90.91 (10% juice)
It's not uncommon to see other values posted other than -10. Examples seen on the NFL Vegas Odds pages could include -08 , -12 , -15 and -20 . The -10 price is the most common value in the industry while many books offer reduced 'juice odds' and that would fall into the -08 category.
The lower-juice sportsbooks are normally found outside of the state Nevada. If you are in a state where sports betting is legal, please check out our online sportsbook directory to find the best and most secure places to make NFL bets.
Another number that’s posted on the NFL Las Vegas is the total or ‘over/under’ for the specific matchup. If the favorite is designated as the home team, then the total will be listed above and vice versa if the visitors are favorites.
All of the above numbers are listed next to the teams, and before each matchup is a Rotation number. The NFL Las Vegas Odds are listed in order of rotation and those numbers are generated and produced by the sportsbooks. Above each matchup and rotation is the Time of the game, which is subject to change. All game times are Eastern Standard Time.
NFL Open Line.
One of the best features on the NFL Vegas Odds is the Open Line. This numbers consists of the first betting line received from one of our Las Vegas or Global Sportsbooks. The opening line varies depending on the sportsbook but it provides a clear-cut rating that the oddsmakers use. If you’re betting on the NFL or any other sport, it’s a great idea to view the open line first.
VI Consensus NFL Line.
How do I bet on the Super Bowl?
We know that you can bet on the Super Bowl and all of NFL Futures or bet on the NFL Draft at any time of the year, but what’s the process? The future wager or the “Odds to Win” bet on the Super Bowl is correctly selecting a team to win an event that takes place at a later time. A bettor will have his wagered money tied up until there is an outcome and bettors will receive fixed odds when they place the wager. In the case of the Super Bowl, you’re not a winner or loser until you see zeros on the clock in the final game.
Most sportsbooks offer different ways to read to Super Bowl Odds. In the fractional NFL Futures Odds format below, you simply take the odds and multiply by the amount wagered.
Ex. Green Bay (8/1) to win the Super Bowl.
The Packers are listed as an 8/1 betting choice to win the Super Bowl. If you wager $100 on Green Bay to win the NFC and they capture the championship, then you would win $800 (8 Г· 1 x 100). Your online betting account would then credit your account $900, which includes your win and stake ($100).
If you are in a state where online betting is legal, we encourage you to check out our sportsbook directory to find the most trustworthy and reputable sites and mobile apps to place your Super Bowl bets.


NFL Week 5 Lines and Betting Picks 2020.
Created 4 months ago, Last Updated 3 months ago.
NFL Week 5 betting lines are moving fast at online sports betting sites even though there are still two games left to play Monday night.
Last week, Overs continued to soar across the NFL as they went 6-1-1 in the early games. Things normalized a bit in the afternoon and night games, as three of the final four matchups went Under their respective point totals. That makes overs 36-23-1 for the season.
Though home-away splits entered the week .500, away teams dominated as they went 10-3 against the spread Thursday through Sunday. So when in doubt, I’ll continue to give the edge to away teams in Week 5, as it simply looks like oddsmakers are treating these games as they would if the games were at full capacity. That’s not the case, however. This is not a typical season and the game environments are more akin to what you see on neutral fields.
Here’s a look at all of the NFL Week 5 lines available as of early Monday morning.
Opening NFL Week 5 Betting Lines.
These Week 5 betting lines are from FanDuel Sportsbook and accurate as of 6 AM Monday, October 5, 2020. All NFL odds are subject to change.
Early NFL Week 5 Lines and Betting Picks.
The Cardinals have dropped two games in which they’ve entered as betting favorites. They look to get back on track against what looks to be the worst NFL team in the league. The Cardinals not being able to win enough games is one of the reasons I advised to stay away from Kyler Murray when it comes to NFL MVP picks — but that’s for another conversation. Let’s talk about this Week 5 line.
However bad the Jets have been, their offense did look better Thursday night with the return of wide receiver Jameson Crowder. As we mentioned earlier, NFL Overs continue to print cash for bettors, and this is one of the lowest totals on the Week 5 board at online sportsbooks. It makes sense considering the Jets hadn’t scored more than 17 points before their 28-point performance last week. Expect the Jets offense to continue to improve and for these two teams to combine for at least 47 points on Sunday.
NFL Pick: Over 46.5.
Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons -3.5.
The Panthers have won two in a row, and Joe Brady’s offense is beginning to translate to success in the NFL . Mike Davis is filling in for Christian McCaffrey spectacularly, catching 21 passes in three weeks of action. The thing is, I like the Falcons against the Packers Monday night. In fact, I won’t be surprised if they win outright. Being so bullish on the Falcons means I have to lay the points with this early NFL pick. If Matt Ryan does beat Aaron Rodgers, this Week 5 betting line is likely to stretch another point or so.
NFL Pick: Falcons -3.5.
Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens -13.5, O/U 52.
The Ravens were -12.5 against the Washington Football Team earlier last week. They closed -14 ahead of kickoff and won right on the number, 31-17. I expect this one to play out similarly. The Ravens defensive line should have their way with the Bengals, and I expect at least a two-touchdown victory. Addtionally, don’t be surprised if the Ravens end up 14-point favorites by kickoff in back to back weeks.
NFL Pick: Ravens -13.5.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans -6.5, O/U 54.5.
Betting against the Texans has paid out handsomely this season. They haven’t only failed to win a game, but they also haven’t covered a spread. I’m not sure they should be laying 6.5 points to anyone. Not even a team that just lost to the Bengals 25-33.
The Washington Football Team lost by two touchdowns against the Ravens, but aside from a couple of bad decisions that resulted in costly sacks, Dwayne Haskins had one of his more impressive performances yet. The second-year quarterback completed 32 of 45 passes for 314 yards and zero interceptions against one of the best defenses in the NFL . 8.5 points feels like too much against a Rams team that barely beat the Giants on Sunday.
Miami Dolphins at San Francisco 49ers -7.5.
Decimated with injuries the 49ers gave the Eagles their first win on Sunday night. There’s hope that Jimmy Garoppolo and Raheem Mostert will return soon. I’ll wait to take a position on this game until their Week 5 injury situation is made more clear.
NFL Pick: N/A.
The Browns are 3-1 for the first time since 2001. They’re also 3-1 against the spread this season. They lost Nick Chubb early against the Cowboys but Kareem Hunt filled in just fine. The Browns are cautiously optimistic that Chubb didn’t suffer a serious knee injury, but there’s no need to rush him back to the field with Kareem Hunt available. However, Chubb’s absence will mean more passing for Baker Mayfield. To the benefit of Mayfield and the passing game, Hunt has doubled-down on his receiving skills since joining the Browns. I love betting the over here.
NFL Pick: Over 47.5.
New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys -9.5, O/U 54.
The Cowboys are 0-4 against the spread and would be 0-4 straight up if it weren’t for a series of miraculous events against the Falcons. Cowboys head coach Mike McCarthy now has as many losses with Dallas this season as the Packers have since firing him. The Cowboys defense hasn’t been able to stop anyone, allowing 36.5 points per game through the first four weeks of the season. I guess this is the tye of defense you get when you pay a running back nearly 100M. Lucky for them their defensive woes might come to an end in Week 5, as they face a Giants offense, led by former Cowboys head coach Jason Garrett, that is scoring only 11.7 ppg. So what happens when an unmovable object meets an unenforceable force (give me a break, I tried my best)? I think we finally get a Cowboys cover.
NFL Pick: Cowboys -9.5.
More NFL Week 5 betting picks coming soon!
NFL Week 5 Lines and Betting Movement.
Image Credit: USA Today Sports Images.
About the Author.
Matt Schmitto (schmitto)
Matt Schmitto is the sports betting editor for RotoGrinders. He grew up in Texas, graduating from Texas Tech University. After a short stint in law school, Schmitto joined RotoGrinders as a staff writer in 2019 and is a contributor to Sports Handle and other US Bets network of sites.




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