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 Post subject: football picks week 6
PostPosted: Sun Aug 15, 2021 12:41 pm 
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п»їNFL odds, lines, picks, predictions for Week 6, 2020: Proven model backing Ravens, Colts.
SportsLine's computer model simulated every Week 6 NFL game 10,000 times with surprising results.
Coming off a bye week, the Packers are the only team in the NFL with a perfect record against the spread. They'll put their streak on the line as one-point favorites against the Buccaneers in the latest Week 6 NFL odds from William Hill. That line opened with the Packers favored by 2.5, but we saw heavy movement throughout the week. In fact, the over-under also jumped from 52 to 55. It's one of eight games on the Week 6 NFL schedule with a spread of three points or fewer.
Panthers vs. Bears also has one of the tighter Week 6 NFL spreads, with Carolina favored by one. Both teams are 3-2 against the spread on the season and have three outright wins as underdogs, but this will be Carolina's first game as a favorite. All of the Week 6 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 6 NFL picks now.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and is up over $7,500 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago.
It's off to a strong 10-5 roll on top-rated NFL picks this season. The model enters Week 6 on an incredible 106-70 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, it has examined the latest Week 6 NFL odds and NFL betting lines, simulated every snap, and its predictions are in. Head to SportsLine now to see them all.
Top NFL predictions for Week 6.
One of the top Week 6 NFL predictions the model recommends: The Ravens (-9.5) cover the spread on the road against the Eagles. Philadelphia is 1-3-1 straight-up this season and just 1-4 against the spread. The Ravens, meanwhile, have a 4-1 straight-up record with a 3-1-1 mark against the spread.
Philly has been hit hard by injuries and could be missing multiple receivers. The Eagles could be without star offensive lineman Lane Johnson as well after he hurt his ankle against Pittsburgh last week. Baltimore hasn't been fazed playing on the road, as it has covered in six of its last seven away games. SportsLine's model has the Ravens covering the spread well over 60 percent of the time, with the over (46.5) clearing by half-a-point.
Another one of the top Week 6 NFL picks from the model: Indianapolis covers as an eight-point favorite over Cincinnati. While new Colts quarterback Philip Rivers has been up and down, Indianapolis' defense makes the team an AFC playoff contender. The Colts rank second in the NFL in scoring defense and first in total defense despite giving up season-highs in points (32) and yards (385) in a loss to the Browns last week.
Now, they'll take on a Bengals team that has one of the softest offensive lines in football. Cincinnati averages just 3.9 yards per carry and has allowed 22 sacks.
The model says the Colts cover well over 50 percent of the time. You can also book the over (46), which hits more than 60 percent of the time.
How to make Week 6 NFL picks.
The model also has made the call on every other game on the Week 6 NFL schedule. It's also identified a Super Bowl contender that goes down hard. You can only get every pick for every game here.
What NFL picks can you make with confidence in Week 6? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds from William Hill below and then visit SportsLine to see which NFL teams are winning more than 50 percent of simulations, all from the model that is up over $7,500 on its top-rated NFL picks.


College Football Picks Week 6: Top 25 Rankings, Schedule, Odds and Predictions.
Featured Columnist October 5, 2020 Comments Comment Bubble Icon.
It's hard to find a game in the history of the Red River Showdown that features two teams that have failed to live up to expectations as much as the Texas Longhorns and Oklahoma Sooners have in 2020.
The Big 12 rivals enter the neutral-site clash in a need of a victory to stay relevant in the conference title race.
Oklahoma comes into the rivalry game as an unranked team for the first time since 2005, while Texas barely survived the AP Top 25 cut.
The Longhorns and Sooners should receive most of the early Saturday spotlight, but once that game ends, all focus will shift toward the ACC.
The Clemson Tigers could be challenged for the first time this season by the Miami Hurricanes, who roll into South Carolina with a large amount of buzz that they are back as one of the nation's premier programs.
Clemson is projected to win the ACC showdown by double digits, but if Miami keeps it close or somehow wins on the road, the balance of power in the conference and country could shift quite a bit.
Week 6 Schedule and Odds.
Saturday, October 10.
No. 4 Florida (-6.5) at No. 21 Texas A&M (Noon, ESPN) (Over/Under: 57.5)
No. 19 Virginia Tech at No. 8 North Carolina (-5) (Noon, ABC) (O/U: 60)
No. 22 Texas vs. Oklahoma (-2.5) (Noon, Fox) (O/U: 70)
Coastal Carolina at No. 23 Louisiana (Noon, ESPN2) (N/A)
No. 14 Tennessee at No. 3 Georgia (-14) (3:30 p.m., CBS) (O/U: 45.5)
UTSA at No. 15 BYU (-34.5) (3:30 p.m., ESPN2) (O/U: 64.5)
Texas Tech at No. 24 Iowa State (-13.5) (3:30 p.m., ABC) (O/U: 62.5)
Arkansas at No. 13 Auburn (-16.5) (4 p.m., SEC Network) (O/U: 51)
No. 2 Alabama (-24.5) at Ole Miss (6 p.m., ESPN) (O/U: 74)
No. 7 Miami at No. 1 Clemson (-16) (7:30 p.m., ABC)
Florida State at No. 5 Notre Dame (-21.5) (7:30 p.m., NBC) (O/U: 54)
Missouri at No. 17 LSU (-19.5) (9 p.m., ESPN) (O/U: 54)
Predictions.
Texas vs. Oklahoma (Over 70)
Defense has been an issue for both Texas and Oklahoma.
The Longhorns have allowed 379 yards and 30.7 points per game, while the Sooners have conceded 317 yards and 25 points per contest to start the season.
Oklahoma's defensive averages are skewed a bit since it shut out Missouri State in its lone nonconference game.
Since entering Big 12 play, Oklahoma's defending has been atrocious and is unlikely to get better with Sam Ehlinger lining up across from it. The quarterback has 14 touchdown passes and 10 different Texas receivers have found the end zone in the first three games.
However, the Texas signal-caller is in need of a bounce-back performance after completing fewer than half of his passes in the loss to TCU.
Spencer Rattler was far more accurate for the Sooners in their defeat to Iowa State, but he made some poor decisions, including on the game-clinching interception, to doom his team.
The winners of the past three Red River Showdowns eclipsed the 30-point mark, and Texas won a 48-45 shootout in 2018.
With the way both defenses have played, 35 points on either side to touch the over seems very doable, especially if Ehlinger and Rattler clean up their mistakes.
Taking the over also feels like the best way to approach this game from a betting perspective since the two sides have been inconsistent on defense.
Miami at Clemson (-16)
Miami has breezed through its first three opponents to strum up buzz that this could be the year it returns to national prominence for the entire season.
While the Hurricanes are in a better position than previous years to claim an ACC title, Clemson is still the class of the league.
Miami's D'Eriq King-led offense put up 99 points on Louisville and Florida State, but those two teams are far from the gold standard on defense. Florida State struggled to beat FCS side Jacksonville State, and Louisville failed to beat Pittsburgh on the road after losing to Miami at home.
Clemson ranks seventh in the FBS in yards conceded, and it is third among teams that have played three games in that category.
The Tigers did allow 23 points to Virginia in Week 5, but they were never threatened by the Cavaliers since Trevor Lawrence posted his second 300-yard performance of the season.
Miami could have a decent offensive night in Clemson and still fall short of challenging the Tigers because the offense of the top-ranked team is so dominant.
Lawrence and Travis Etienne have picked up where they left off and delivered three strong performances, while a new crop of wide receivers has emerged behind Amari Rodgers to give the quarterback plenty of targets to work with.
Since 2017, Clemson is 10-0 versus Top 25 teams in the regular season and produced at least 27 points in eight of those games.
King is capable of putting the Tigers under pressure with the way he maneuvers through the pocket, but if he is stopped even once or twice, it could open the door for Lawrence to create a double-digit advantage that Clemson does not let go of.
If that is the case, Dabo Swinney's side could pull away in the second half and reinforce that it is the team to beat in the ACC.
Follow Joe on Twitter, @JTansey90. Statistics obtained from ESPN.


NFL picks, predictions for Week 6: Steelers hold off Browns; Chiefs, 49ers rebound in prime time.
Week 6 of the NFL season features great quarterback matchups — and the focus will be on the Tom Brady-Aaron Rodgers and Patrick Mahomes-Josh Allen quarterback duels in the big spotlight games.
Dallas' Andy Dalton also will be making his first start with his new team on "Monday Night Football" against Kyler Murray and the Cardinals.
Five divisional games, however, have our attention. The Titans-Texans matchup is interesting with Tennessee coming off a short week. The Jets are looking for their first win against the Dolphins, and the Giants are looking for their first win against Washington. San Francisco faces pressure heading into a "Sunday Night Football" matchup against the Rams.
The big game, however, is the Browns-Steelers matchup in Pittsburgh. Cleveland has a chance to knock off an unbeaten team, and this AFC North rivalry has a little more meaning now. That’s the best game of the week.
Last Week: 9-5 Season: 17-10.
With that in mind, below are our picks and predictions for Week 6 of the NFL season.
NFL picks, predictions for Week 6.
Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings (-3.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX.
The Falcons fired Dan Quinn after a 0-5 start, and the Vikings might be without Dalvin Cook (groin). Both defenses give up more than 30 points per game, but the Vikings ride Alexander Mattison to victory here in a close one.
Pick: Vikings 29, Falcons 27.
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans (-2)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
We have no idea what to expect from the Titans at this point given the COVID-19 issues surrounding the team. The Texans have lost three of the last four at Tennessee, but it depends on how the Titans respond to a short week. We’re going to take Deshaun Watson in the upset.
Pick: Texans 28, Titans 26.
Baltimore Ravens (-7.5) at Philadelphia Eagles.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
The Ravens' defense has found its footing since the loss to the Chiefs, and they have allowed just 10 points per game in victories against Washington and Cincinnati. The Eagles present a stiffer challenge, but Baltimore’s offense is just too efficient right now.
Pick: Ravens 31, Eagles 17.
Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts (-8)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX.
Rookie quarterback Joe Burrow took eight sacks against Philadelphia and seven more in the loss to the Ravens last week. Indianapolis will be coming next, and their defense will be motivated after giving up 32 points to the Browns last week.
Pick: Colts 23, Bengals 17.
Detroit Lions (-3.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX.
This game appears to have more implications for the 2021 NFL Draft than anything else. The Lions had a bye week to shore up the protection around Matthew Stafford, but Detroit must squeak out another one-score victory on the road.
Pick: Lions 26, Jaguars 21.
Washington Football Team at New York Giants (-3)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX.
Speaking of the No. 1 pick, this NFC East rivalry features two teams still looking for a superstar quarterback. New York’s offense showed up in the loss to Dallas, but the Redskins make it ugly. Chase Young comes up with a late sack to seal the victory.
Pick: Washington 19, Giants 17.
Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers (-3)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX.
The Bears are underdogs for the second straight week, but the offense has changed direction with Nick Foles. Carolina is a hot team with Teddy Bridgewater, who has thrown just one interception and taken two sacks through a three-game win streak. He will be under more heat in this one.
Pick: Bears 26, Panthers 23.
Denver Broncos at New England Patriots (TBD)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
The Patriots are another team whose schedule continues to change by the day because of COVID-19, and we have no idea who will be their starting quarterback at this point. We’re sticking to the same prediction as last week.
Pick: Patriots 28, Broncos 19.
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
Emotions should be high because this is the first matchup with big implications in this rivalry in a while. The Steelers’ defense showed holes in the secondary last week, and Baker Mayfield will make some big plays in the passing game. Cleveland will lead at halftime, but the Steelers will rally in the fourth quarter for another big victory at the Browns' expense.
Pick: Steelers 29, Browns 27.
New York Jets at Miami Dolphins (-8)
Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS.
The Dolphins have won two of their last three behind Ryan Fitzpatrick, who has a pair of 300-yard games in that stretch. The Jets haven't been able to stop the pass. They will join the Giants in the 0-6 club.
Pick: Dolphins 31, Jets 23.
Green Bay Packers (-2.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX.
The marquee showdown features Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady. The Packers are coming off the bye week, and the Buccaneers had extra rest after the "Thursday Night Football" loss to the Bears. This is another prove-it game for Brady, and the Buccaneers will lead for three quarters before Rodgers leads a fourth-quarter comeback. You can flip the script and take Tampa Bay if you want. Either way, the game lives up to the hype.
Pick: Packers 33, Buccaneers 31.
Los Angeles Rams (-3.5) at San Francisco 49ers.
Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC.
The Rams and 49ers both have top-five defenses when it comes to yards allowed, and that should lead to a grind-it-out game, and Jimmy Garoppolo faces more pressure than anyone else here. At home, San Francisco delivers.
Pick: 49ers 23, Rams 20.
Kansas City Chiefs (-3) at Buffalo Bills.
Monday, 5 p.m. ET, FOX.
This game got pushed back from its "Thursday Night Football" spotlight, and it’s Buffalo’s chance to shine on the national stage. The Chiefs were upset by the Raiders in Week 5, but they are more accustomed to this prime-time spot. Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen put on a show, but the Chiefs come out on top.
Pick: Chiefs 33, Bills 24.
Arizona Cardinals (-2.5) at Dallas Cowboys.
Monday, 8:15 p.m., ESPN.
Andy Dalton is the next man up at quarterback for the Cowboys, and the offense can still function with him at quarterback. This is a homecoming of sorts for Kyler Murray, a Texas high-school legend who has the Cardinals in the playoff hunt. Some might want to write Dallas off. We just think this is the next roller-coaster ride.




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